Government Guarantee the Critical Factor
Letter to the Editor

Vernon Hill's Viewpoints column, "Why It Feels Like 1991, All Over Again" [Feb. 1, page 11] was insightful. Of particular interest, but needing amendment, was this forecast: "Deposits will again become king. Those with stable funding will survive and thrive."

Deposits are not inherently stable. In fact, they are inherently unstable funding, generally held by totally uninformed creditors of the bank, who receive no disclosure about its financial condition or outlook, have only downside risk (no upside), and in the event of bad news are liable to panic, as financial history so abundantly shows.

It is only the government guarantee of deposits--an external, political factor--which makes them stable.

Thus the correct statement is: "Those with government-guaranteed funding will survive and thrive." This obviously includes Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, the Federal Home Loan banks, and others using the government's credit, as well as depositories.

In times of crisis, everybody wants a government guarantee, and those who have one have a fundamental advantage.

Alex J. Pollock is a resident fellow at AEI.

About the Author

 

Alex J.
Pollock
  • Alex Pollock joined AEI in 2004 after thirty-five years in banking. He was president and chief executive officer of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago from 1991 to 2004. He is the author of numerous articles on financial systems and the organizer of the “Deflating Bubble” series of AEI conferences. In 2007, he developed a one-page mortgage form to help borrowers understand their mortgage obligations. At AEI, he focuses on financial policy issues, including housing finance, government-sponsored enterprises, retirement finance, corporate governance, accounting standards, and the banking system. He is a director of the CME Group, the Great Lakes Higher Education Corporation, the International Union for Housing Finance, and the chairman of the board of the Great Books Foundation.

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  • Phone: 2028627190
    Email: apollock@aei.org
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