How Serious Is the Mortgage Problem That Will Confront President Obama?

Since the mortgage meltdown began in the summer of 2007, many observers have commented that government policy has seemed to lag events. Predictions about the scope of the problems in the housing and mortgage markets, and particularly how they might affect the health of the financial system, have consistently been too optimistic. One of the reasons for this is the difficulty of obtaining accurate information, even for policymakers. Fannie and Freddie, for example, have been making subprime or other nontraditional loans for at least a decade but reporting them as prime loans. These loans total approximately $1.6 trillion. As a result, 44 percent of all loans, or a total of 25 million loans, are outstanding subprime and other nontraditional loans--more than double what anyone understood at the beginning of the mortgage market collapse. Edward Pinto, a former chief credit officer for Fannie Mae, has done an extensive study of the scope of the mortgage problem and will report at this conference on what President Barack Obama will confront when he takes office on January 20.

About the Author

 

Peter J.
Wallison

 

Edward J.
Pinto
  • An executive vice president and chief credit officer for Fannie Mae until the late 1980s, Edward Pinto has done groundbreaking research on the role of government housing policies in the lead-up to the financial crisis. In particular, his data have revealed striking facts about the contributions of housing policy to the mortgage crisis. Two of his major research papers have been submitted to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission: "Government Housing Policies in the Lead-up to the Financial Crisis: A Forensic Study" and "Triggers of the Financial Crisis." At AEI Mr. Pinto is continuing his work on the role of housing policies in the financial crisis and researching policy considerations and options for rebuilding our housing-finance sector.
  • Phone: 202-862-7185
    Email: edward.pinto@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Steffanie Hawkins
    Phone: 202-419-5212
    Email: steffanie.hawkins@aei.org
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