Reprivatizing the Financial System

As we all know, we have had an immense expansion of the role of government in the financial system. In the world after the crisis, what steps can we take toward reprivatization?

Let us consider four such steps.

Manage TARP as a Business

Having invested more than $300 billion in the capital of more than 600 financial companies, the Treasury Department's Troubled Asset Relief Program should make a reasonably paced, orderly withdrawal--perhaps taking three years or so.

The closest historical analogy to TARP is the Reconstruction Finance Corp. of the 1930s. In a much more destructive financial and economic collapse, it invested in more than 6,000 banks, or 10 times the number of institutions involved in TARP. The great majority of these investments eventually were retired in full, after paying dividends along the way, so that the RFC was able to show a modest profit.

The RFC was run by a forceful character named Jesse Jones. Jones was a conservative Texas Democrat, a tough-minded and successful entrepreneur who had dropped out of school after the eighth grade to enter business. "The program of putting capital into banks," he wrote, "was carried out without loss to the government or the taxpayer. On the contrary, it has shown profit through interest and dividends."

I believe the key to such a result is a business approach to managing the investments. The goal is for the managers of TARP investments to act as fiduciaries for the taxpayers: to get their money back along with a reasonable overall profit. The predominant discipline should be that of investment management, not politics, while the TARP portfolio is liquidated during the next few years.

Fix Fannie and Freddie

We have seen the effective nationalization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The equity the government continues to put in them looks likely to generate a loss of $100 billion to $200 billion, or more, for the taxpayers. The government, through the Federal Reserve, has also bought something on the order of $900 billion of Fannie and Freddie's mortgage-backed securities and debt.

Having government-sponsored enterprises with "implicit" government guarantees--which always were and now obviously are real guarantees--was a bad idea.

During the next two or three years, Fannie and Freddie each should be broken into three pieces: a dead-loss liquidating bank in receivership; for its future financial business, a truly private company competing in the marketplace like all other companies--succeed or fail, sink or swim; and for dispensing housing subsidies, a truly governmental entity, requiring congressional appropriations and merged into the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

No surviving part of Fannie or Freddie would be a GSE.

Put Negative Interest Rates on Excess Reserves

The Federal Reserve's combined balance sheet has expanded to more than $2 trillion during the crisis--about two-and-a-half times its precrisis level. It now includes about $774 billion of mortgage-backed securities, $142 billion of agency debt and $65 billion of risky mortgage-backed securities and derivatives acquired from Bear Stearns and AIG.

In this sense, financing the crisis has made the Fed look more like a commercial bank. So does its great growth in deposits.

Risk-free deposits kept by banks at the Fed have grown to more than $1 trillion, about 65-times their precrisis level. Banks' holding of deposits at the Federal Reserve is the economic equivalent of their putting currency in the mattress, except that now the Fed is paying interest on these deposits. This means that banks can earn income simply by keeping a risk-free deposit with the Fed rather than having to lend or invest their excess reserves to earn a return.

Under current economic conditions, as we strive to reprivatize credit availability, excess reserves merely stuffed into the Fed mattress should have a negative interest rate, a cost for not lending or investing. It may sound odd, but it should be done.

Encourage New Banks

In making good on its deposit guaranty, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. can itself come under financial pressure. The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corp. did not survive insolvency in the 1980s. The FDIC has announced that its liabilities exceed its assets by $8 billion as it faces hundreds more bank failures in the coming year or two.

Hence it has a strong incentive to force all new capital available to banking into solving the problem of failing banks, so new banking charters have become exceptionally difficult to obtain. From the perspective of the FDIC's problem, this is easy to understand.

But from a broader public policy perspective, the opposite approach would be better. As Randall Forsyth recently wrote in Barron's, "It's been the best of times for giant corporate borrowers storming the bond market but about the worst for small businesses dependent on bank loans."

Public policy should actively encourage new capital to form banks unencumbered by past losses, Tarp and nonperforming "bubble" loans--unencumbered, in other words, by the unfortunate past. These banks could get into the business of making private credit available to creditworthy enterprises and individuals.

Movement in the direction these ideas point toward would constitute measurable progress on a reprivatizing of the financial system.

Alex J. Pollock is a resident fellow at AEI.

Also Visit
AEIdeas Blog The American Magazine
About the Author

 

Alex J.
Pollock
  • Alex Pollock joined AEI in 2004 after thirty-five years in banking. He was president and chief executive officer of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago from 1991 to 2004. He is the author of numerous articles on financial systems and the organizer of the “Deflating Bubble” series of AEI conferences. In 2007, he developed a one-page mortgage form to help borrowers understand their mortgage obligations. At AEI, he focuses on financial policy issues, including housing finance, government-sponsored enterprises, retirement finance, corporate governance, accounting standards, and the banking system. He is the lead director of CME Group, a director of Great Lakes Higher Education Corporation and the International Union for Housing Finance, and chairman of the board of the Great Books Foundation.

    CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD ALEX POLLOCK'S ONE-PAGE MORTGAGE FORM
  • Phone: 2028627190
    Email: apollock@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Emily Rapp
    Phone: (202) 419-5212
    Email: emily.rapp@aei.org

What's new on AEI

image Edward Snowden's leaks are a grave threat to US national security
image Hasty transition would jeopardize US gains in Afghanistan
image Iran's moderate president?
image How to predict the Fed
AEI on Facebook
Events Calendar
  • 17
    MON
  • 18
    TUE
  • 19
    WED
  • 20
    THU
  • 21
    FRI
Monday, June 17, 2013 | 6:00 p.m. – 7:00 p.m.
Brainwashed: The use and misuse of neuroscience

Join New York Times columnist David Brooks as he engages the authors of “Brainwashed: The Seductive Appeal of Mindless Neuroscience” Sally Satel and Scott Lilienfeld, in a discussion of popular neuroscience.

Tuesday, June 18, 2013 | 9:00 a.m. – 10:15 a.m.
The next digital crossroads: Regulating competition in the Internet ecosystem

Please join us for a preview of the revised and updated edition of Jonathan Nuechterlein and Philip Weiser’s influential 2005 book “Digital Crossroads: Telecommunications Law and Policy in the Internet Age” (MIT Press).

Tuesday, June 18, 2013 | 5:30 p.m. – 7:00 p.m.
Economic liberty and human flourishing: Perspectives from political philosophy

At this event, three expert panelists will examine this relationship from the perspectives of influential philosophers such as Aristotle, Alexis de Tocqueville, and representatives of the Scottish Enlightenment.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013 | 9:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Neighborhood watch: A time to lead in the Americas

This event has been canceled. We apologize for any inconvenience. 

Event Registration is Closed
Wednesday, June 19, 2013 | 12:30 p.m. – 1:45 p.m.
Is college worth it?

At this event, Bennett and Wilezol will present their book, higher education finance experts Richard George and Richard Vedder will provide discussion, and a coffee reception and book signing will follow.

Event Registration is Closed
Wednesday, June 19, 2013 | 3:30 p.m. – 5:30 p.m.
Is Big Brother watching you?

Join General Michael Hayden (ret.), AEI’s Marc Thiessen, and other leading experts in national security for a panel discussion on the significance of the NSA leaks.

Event Registration is Closed
Thursday, June 20, 2013 | 1:00 p.m. – 2:15 p.m.
Balance: The economics of great powers from ancient Rome to modern America

Please join us for an event celebrating the release of Glenn Hubbard and Tim Kane’s “Balance: The Economics of Great Powers from Ancient Rome to Modern America” (Simon & Schuster, May 2013).

Friday, June 21, 2013 | 10:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Washington's ongoing assault on free speech: An address by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell

In light of the emerging Internal Revenue Service scandal, Senator McConnell will again join AEI to comment on the use of government power to stifle speech and will propose solutions that protect the individual rights that are guaranteed to all citizens of the United States.  

No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.