Role of Dollar in Asset Price Bubble
Letter to the Editor

Sir, Nouriel Roubini yet again offers us a counsel of despair ("The mother of all carry trades faces an inevitable bust", November 2). He alerts us to the dangers of the formation of yet another global asset price bubble without offering the world's central banks concrete policy advice as to what they should now be doing to avert those dangers.

Prof Roubini's comment might have been more helpful had he noted that if central banks are to pursue simultaneously the two objectives of supporting a fragile global economic recovery and of averting a global asset price bubble, they necessarily need to deploy two rather than one policy instrument in pursuit of those goals. Specifically, they need to complement their low interest rate policy aimed at supporting the recovery with measures such as higher margin or capital requirements to reduce the global leverage and liquidity that are fuelling the asset price bubble.

Prof Roubini would also seem to overstate the role that a declining U.S. dollar is playing in the present global asset price bubble. While the dollar carry trade is certainly playing a significant role in the rise of non-U.S. dollar denominated assets, it can hardly explain the rise of asset prices in the U.S. There is no currency advantage to be gained by borrowing in U.S. dollars to fund the purchase of U.S. dollar-denominated assets.

Desmond Lachman is a resident fellow at AEI.

About the Author

 

Desmond
Lachman
  • Desmond Lachman joined AEI after serving as a managing director and chief emerging market economic strategist at Salomon Smith Barney. He previously served as deputy director in the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Policy Development and Review Department and was active in staff formulation of IMF policies. Mr. Lachman has written extensively on the global economic crisis, the U.S. housing market bust, the U.S. dollar, and the strains in the euro area. At AEI, Mr. Lachman is focused on the global macroeconomy, global currency issues, and the multilateral lending agencies.
  • Phone: 202-862-5844
    Email: dlachman@aei.org
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