Iran's nuclear weapons fuel production capability

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European Union Foreign Policy Chief Catherine Ashton of the UK arrives in Baghdad, Iraq, on May 23, 2012 in Iraq. Representatives from the P5+1 group of nations are meeting to hold talks aimed at persuading Iran to suspend its nuclear program.

Article Highlights

  • Agreement to halt enrichment would have limited impact on #Iran’s ability to quickly produce uranium for one nuclear warhead

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  • in a worst-case dash scenario, Iran could get to 90 percent weapons-grade #uranium at Fordow in about 42 days

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  • Any outcome shy of removing all nuclear material will allow #Iran the ability to get nuclear weapons fuel in short order

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Iran could offer to halt production of 20 percent enriched uranium in upcoming negotiations. This “concession” would have limited impact on Iran’s ability to quickly produce weapons-grade uranium for one nuclear warhead, however. Iran would still retain the ability to resume 20 percent enrichment and to produce weapons-grade uranium at a time of its choosing. 

Please read the full text at the Critical Threats Project.

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About the Author

 

Maseh
Zarif
  • Maseh Zarif is the deputy director and Iran research Team Lead for the American Enterprise Institute’s Critical Threats Project. He works on national security issues related to the Middle East and South Asia, with a particular focus on Iran’s nuclear program and its regional activities. He has written for The Wall Street Journal, The Weekly Standard, National Review Online, and Foreign Policy, among others, and has appeared on CNN and Fox. Before joining AEI, he worked for several years in corporate finance as an analyst and a consultant.

  • Phone: 202.862.5929
    Email: maseh.zarif@aei.org

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