Another Warning for Medicare?

Will Medicare be there for younger generations when they turn sixty-five? Despite the good news that the Part D drug benefit is more popular and less expensive than originally projected, Medicare financing is under growing pressure as increasing numbers of beneficiaries use more--and more expensive--care. The Medicare trustees sounded a "funding warning" last year, indicating that program spending has risen faster than dedicated revenue. The warning required the president to submit special legislation to address the fiscal problem. Reaction from the Hill has been lukewarm at best. Will the trustees issue another funding warning this year? Will actions by Congress in an election year ease or exacerbate the program's fiscal troubles? What is the outlook for more fundamental reform of Medicare?

The annual Medicare trustees' report, to be released March 25, provides the latest assessment of Medicare's fiscal future. Richard Foster, Medicare’s chief actuary, will present this year's findings. Gail Wilensky, former Medicare administrator; Robert Bixby, Concord Coalition and coordinator of the Fiscal Wake-Up Tour; and AEI's Joseph Antos, a former official at the Congressional Budget Office and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, will discuss the policy challenges facing the program.

About the Author

 

Joseph
Antos

  • Mr. Antos's research focuses on the economics of health policy—including Medicare and broader health system reform, health care financing, health insurance regulation, and the uninsured—and federal budget policy. He has written and spoken extensively on the Medicare drug benefit and has led a team of experienced independent actuaries and cost estimators in a study to evaluate various proposals to extend health coverage to the uninsured. His work on the country’s budget crisis includes a detailed plan to achieve fiscal stability and economic growth developed in conjunction with AEI colleagues.  


    Joseph Antos is also a commissioner of the Maryland Health Services Cost Review Commission and a health adviser to the Congressional Budget Office.  Before joining AEI, Mr. Antos was Assistant Director for Health and Human Resources at the Congressional Budget Office.




    Watch Mr. Antos in an interview with Bill Erwin of the Alliance for Health Reform on "Will Health Reform Reduce the Federal Deficit?"

    nullFollow Joseph Antos on Twitter

  • Phone: 202-862-5938
    Email: jantos@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Catherine Griffin
    Phone: 2028625920
    Email: catherine.griffin@aei.org

 

Robert B.
Helms
  • Robert B. Helms has served as a member of the Medicaid Commission as well as assistant secretary for planning and evaluation and deputy assistant secretary for health policy at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). An economist by training, he has written and lectured extensively on health policy and health economics, including the history of Medicare, the tax treatment of health insurance, and compared international health systems. He currently participates in the Health Policy Consensus Group, an informal task force that is developing consumer-driven health reforms. He is the author or editor of several AEI books on health policy, including Medicare in the Twenty-First Century: Seeking Fair and Efficient Reform and Competitive Strategies in the Pharmaceutical Industry.
  • Phone: 2028625877
    Email: rhelms@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Catherine Griffin
    Phone: 2028625920
    Email: catherine.griffin@aei.org
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