Down to the wire: AEI Political Report, October 2012

AEI Political Report, October 2012

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* Late deciders: In 2008, 4 percent of voters did not decide which presidential candidate to support until Election Day – and they preferred Obama over McCain. We explore how late deciders have cast their vote since 1984.

* Demographic groups: In this issue, we examine how two dozen groups have voted in presidential elections going back to 1974. Some of the highlights:

* Starting in 1980, more women than men have voted for the Democratic presidential candidate. In recent years, women have made up a larger share of the electorate than men.

* Since 1984, married voters have supported the Republican candidate more than voters who are not married.

* Those who identify as independents have sided with the winning candidate in each of the past ten elections except in 1976 and 2004. In 2008, they were 29 percent of all voters.

* In 1972, union households voted narrowly for Richard Nixon, but these households have voted for Democratic candidates ever since. In 2008, they were about a quarter of the electorate.

* ID laws: Most polls show that large majorities of Americans support voter identification requirements.  While Pennsylvania’s voter ID law won’t be enforced in this election, 64 percent of Pennsylvanians supported it in a recent Philadelphia Inquirer poll. 


Down to the wire: AEI Political Report, October 2012

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About the Author

 

Karlyn
Bowman
  • Karlyn Bowman compiles and analyzes American public opinion using available polling data on a variety of subjects, including the economy, taxes, the state of workers in America, environment and global warming, attitudes about homosexuality and gay marriage, NAFTA and free trade, the war in Iraq, and women's attitudes. In addition, Ms. Bowman has studied and spoken about the evolution of American politics because of key demographic and geographic changes. She has often lectured on the role of think tanks in the United States and writes a weekly column for Forbes.com.
  • Phone: 2028625910
    Email: kbowman@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Andrew Rugg
    Phone: 2028625917
    Email: andrew.rugg@aei.org

 

Andrew
Rugg

 

Jennifer K.
Marsico
  • Jennifer K. Marsico is a senior research associate at AEI, working in the Political Corner. Her research focuses on elections and election reform, as well as government continuity issues. She is a visiting fellow at the Independent Women's Forum. She is also a contributor to the AEIdeas blog, and has also written for many outside print and online publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Chicago Tribune, and Roll Call. Ms. Marsico serves as assistant director of the AEI-Brookings Continuity of Government Commission, and has contributed to recent studies on Supreme Court continuity, voter registration modernization, and civic participation in the digital age.

  • Phone: 202.862.5899
    Email: jennifer.marsico@aei.org

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