Why Did Welfare Caseloads Collapse? The Mystery of Diversion

The welfare reform of the 1990s was an unusual success for American social policy. By requiring more welfare mothers to work, reformers aimed to move them into jobs and reduce welfare rolls. Unexpectedly, reform was accompanied by a greater decline of caseloads--over 60 percent--that had previously been anticipated by research. The fall was not caused only by more welfare mothers going to work. Other single mothers took jobs directly and bypassed welfare entirely--a phenomenon known as diversion. No one has explained these effects. They are important because they suggest that antipoverty measures could also have systemic impacts in other areas, such as the problems of low-income men, that are now getting attention.

At this conference, leading field researchers who observed welfare reform first-hand will offer their own explanations and address the questions: What forces generated diversion and thus transformed welfare? And what does this imply for future social policy?

About the Author

 

Lawrence M.
Mead
  • Lawrence Mead teaches American politics and public policy at New York University. Known as one of the theoretical architects of the welfare reform of the 1990s, he has written several influential books in which he demonstrates that mandatory work requirements are essential to sound welfare policy. While at AEI, he researched how to institute a work requirement for nonworking poor men comparable to the work tests that were instituted for poor single mothers in previous welfare reforms.
  • Phone: 2129988540
    Email: larry.mead@aei.org
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