What to expect when no one's expecting: America's demographic crisis
Bradley Lecture by Jonathan Last

Video

Event Summary

If Americans are not having babies, is there a future for this country? At an AEI Bradley Lecture on Monday night, Jonathan Last explored this question by discussing research he conducted for his recent book "What to Expect When No One's Expecting." Last explained that to maintain its population, a country must have a fertility rate (the average number of children born to a woman) of 2.1. Not only is the US rate below this level, but it has consistently been so for the last 40 years. Last maintained that population contraction could result in poverty, creating new environmental problems as the age structure of society inverts.

The story is similar in other first-world countries, and although the fertility rate is higher in the developing world, this rate is declining more quickly, said Last. He explained how decreasing global infant mortality rates and increasing urbanization and education — especially among women — collectively contribute to lower fertility rates.  And even worse, government policy cannot help boost fertility rates, said Last — neither state-sponsored child care nor natalism has resulted in notable population increases. The only potential solution, concluded Last, lies in the belief in something greater than one's self:  those who attend church regularly, for example, tend to have more children. 

--Jen Marsico

Event Description

Look around you and think for a minute: is America too crowded? For years, we have been warned about the looming threat of overpopulation — yet population growth has been slowing around the globe for two generations. Within two more, the world’s population will begin contracting sharply, with dire economic, political, and cultural implications.

Jonathan Last, author of “What to Expect When No One’s Expecting” (Encounter Books, February 2013), puts this predicament in perspective: middle-class American women are now voluntarily reproducing at about the same rate as Chinese women, who have been subjected to 30 years of an official, brutal, one-child policy. Why is this happening, and how can we reverse the trend?

Please join us in this Bradley Lecture as Last explores the roots and consequences of the population implosion, explaining why, as P.J. O’Rourke notes, “the only thing worse than having children is not having them.”

If you are unable to attend, we welcome you to watch the event live on this page. Full video will be posted within 24 hours.

Also Visit
AEIdeas Blog The American Magazine
About the Author

 

Karlyn
Bowman

What's new on AEI

Holder will regret his refusal to obey the Constitution
image 'Flood Wall Street' climate protesters take aim at their corporate allies
image 3 opportunities for better US-India defense ties
image Is Nicolás Maduro Latin America's new man at the United Nations?
AEI on Facebook
Events Calendar
  • 29
    MON
  • 30
    TUE
  • 01
    WED
  • 02
    THU
  • 03
    FRI
Thursday, October 02, 2014 | 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.
Campbell Brown talks teacher tenure

We welcome you to join us as Brown shares her perspective on the role of the courts in seeking educational justice and advocating for continued reform.

Friday, October 03, 2014 | 12:00 p.m. – 1:00 p.m.
Harnessing the power of markets to tackle global poverty: A conversation with Jacqueline Novogratz

AEI welcomes you to this Philanthropic Freedom Project event, in which Novogratz will describe her work investing in early-stage enterprises, what she has learned at the helm of Acumen, and the role entrepreneurship can play in the fight against global poverty.

No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled today.
No events scheduled this day.
No events scheduled this day.