The 1.5 Million Population Gap

Monday, January 10, 2005 | 12:00 p.m. – 12:00 p.m.

Wohlstetter Conference Center, Twelfth Floor, AEI 1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036

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About This Event

Many demographic specialists from the United Nations, the US, and Israel estimate that the Palestinian population of the West Bank and Gaza may currently (midyear 2004) be as high as 3.8 million persons. Those same sources, furthermore, suggest West Bank/Gaza is among the world's fastest growing regions today. But are these estimates accurate?

Inconsistencies and contradictions in Palestinian Authority data seem to raise the possibility that the West Bank/Gaza population may be significantly--and increasingly--overcounted.

Zimmerman, Seid and Wise will present evidence showing that the Palestinian Arab population of West Bank/Gaza may currently be overestimated by as much as 1.4 million--that is to say, by over a third. The team will also demonstrate why it is important to verify demographic assumptions before they create exponential errors.

Speakers:
Bennett Zimmerman
Roberta Seid
Michael Wise

PA demographics

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AEI Participants

Nicholas
Eberstadt

Nicholas Eberstadt, a political economist and a demographer by training, is also a senior adviser to the National Board of Asian Research, a member of the visiting committee at the Harvard School of Public Health, and a member of the Global Leadership Council at the World Economic Forum. He researches and writes extensively on economic development, foreign aid, global health, demographics, and poverty. He is the author of numerous monographs and articles on North and South Korea, East Asia, and countries of the former Soviet Union. His books range from The End of North Korea (AEI Press, 1999) to The Poverty of the Poverty Rate (AEI Press, 2008).
Phone: 202-862-5825
Email: eberstadt@aei.org
Assistant Info
Name: Kelly Matush
Phone: 202-862-5835
Email: kelly.matush@aei.org