Shifting the Balance in Asia: Indian Military Modernization
About This Event

India's military modernization is perhaps the most overlooked of the major trends occurring in the Asia-Pacific region. While many have focused on the buildup of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, comparatively little time and resources have been devoted to studying the Indian military. Yet India's armed forces are likely to Listen to Audio


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play as important a role as China's over the coming decades as Asia's two giants assume their roles as the region's predominant powers. New Delhi's significant changes to military doctrine and strategy, force composition, and procurement strategies will have far-reaching impacts on security in the region.

What is driving this modernization and buildup? In what ways is India altering its military doctrine on land, at sea, and in the air? What are the economic and security implications for the United States? Three panels of experts discussed these and other questions.

Agenda
Event Contact Information
Michael Mazza
American Enterprise Institute
1150 Seventeenth St., NW
Washington, DC 20036
Phone: 202-862-6027
Media Contact Information
Hampton Foushee
American Enterprise Institute
1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20036
Phone: 202-862-5806
Event Summary

WASHINGTON, JUNE 8, 2010--Ten experts gathered at AEI Tuesday to discuss why and how New Delhi is modernizing India's armed forces. Speakers on the first panel, which focused on India's strategic environment, highlighted the challenges India faces--from domestic terrorism to the ongoing dispute with Pakistan to a rising China--and the many tasks its military must perform. The second panel discussed modernization of India's maritime, land, and missile forces, as well as the domestic political and bureaucratic barriers to effective modernization. India's military modernization is a long-term project with opportunities for and barriers to U.S.-India defense-industrial cooperation.

  • "From India's point of view, the Chinese have been reluctant in the last decade to further the talks that have led to . . . an agreement, but not a definite definition of the borders. So this makes Indian military figures [and] strategists wonder, 'what are the Chinese waiting for? Why are they not willing to settle this border once and for all? . . . We're all engaged in trade and commerce. Is it the case that the Chinese military might think that at some point in the future, they will be able to settle the border under more favorable terms and that's why they're holding out?' Again, from India's perspective, 'why won't the Chinese . . . come to terms and decide, finally, what the border should be?"
    --Jacqueline Newmyer

  • "India, now for thirty years almost being the single largest importer of advanced conventional weaponry, remains unable to redress some of the strategic disadvantages that it has had. And this has to do with a lack of political strategic direction. It also has to do with the institutional structure within India that creates the disunity of purpose and effort and severe institutional problems such as corruption."
    --Sunil Dasgupta

  • "Cold Start is an example of creative military problem solving in response to Pakistan's support for militancy and its stated rejection of a 'no first use' nuclear doctrine. Similarly, the two-front war scenario attempts to prepare for a worst-case situation motivated by increasing belligerence and the growing military capabilities of a second nuclear-armed neighbor. These are both very challenging undertakings and require significant upgrade of the army's materiel as well as considerable reorientation of both its traditional organizational and operational patterns. Now certainly the ability to execute either of these concepts would represent a considerable advance in the army's conventional capabilities, but I think for the foreseeable future, we're looking at a situation where these are going to remain much more aspirations than achievable."
    --Walter Ladwig
--MICHAEL MAZZA
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Speaker biographies

Jasmeet Ahuja is a professional staff member for the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, with responsibility for South Asia policy. She was integral in the drafting of the Enhanced Partnership with Pakistan Act of 2009, which was signed by President Barack Obama in June 2009, and the United States–India Civil Nuclear Cooperation Approval and Nonproliferation Enhancement Act of 2008, which was signed by President George W. Bush in November 2008. Prior to joining the House, Ms. Ahuja served in the Bureau of Political-Military Affairs at the U.S. Department of State. While at State, she managed all arms sales and defense trade for South Asia, including the sale of F-16s to Pakistan and C-130Js to India. Ms. Ahuja began her career in the federal government as a Presidential Management Fellow in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, where she worked in Programs, Analysis, and Evaluation, as well as for the under secretary for policy. While in policy, her assignments included serving as a member of the Integration Team for the Quadrennial Defense Review and of the Policy Planning Staff, among others.

Dan Blumenthal joined AEI in November 2004 as a resident fellow in Asian studies. He has recently been named a research associate in the National Asia Research Program, a joint undertaking of the National Bureau of Asian Research and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. He has served on the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission since 2005, including serving as vice chairman in 2007, and has been a member of the Academic Advisory Board for the congressional U.S.-China Working Group. Previously, Mr. Blumenthal was senior director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia in the office of the Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs during George W. Bush's first administration. In addition to writing for AEI's Asian Outlook series, he has written articles and op-eds for the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal, The Weekly Standard, National Review, and numerous edited volumes. He is currently working on a manuscript that will examine divides within the China policymaking community.

Chris Clary is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Political Science of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Previously, he was a 2008–2009 Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellow in India, hosted by the Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses in New Delhi. From 2006 to 2009, he served as a country director for South Asian affairs in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, where he was responsible for bilateral defense relationships with India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, and the Maldives. He previously was a research associate at the Naval Postgraduate School from 2003 to 2005 and a research assistant at the Henry L. Stimson Center from 2001 to 2003.

Sunil Dasgupta teaches political science at the University of Maryland–Baltimore County (UMBC) and is the director of UMBC's Political Science Program at the Universities at Shady Grove in Rockville, Maryland. He is the coauthor, with Stephen P. Cohen, of Arming without Aiming: India's Military Modernization (Brookings Institution Press, 2010). Mr. Dasgupta's research interests are in security studies, especially civil-military relations, military organization, and irregular warfare.

Thomas Donnelly, a defense and security policy analyst, is the director of the Center for Defense Studies. He is the coauthor with Frederick W. Kagan of Lessons for a Long War: How America Can Win on New Battlefields (AEI Press, 2010). Among his recent books are Ground Truth: The Future of U.S. Land Power (AEI Press, 2008), coauthored with Frederick W. Kagan; Of Men and Materiel: The Crisis in Military Resources (AEI Press, 2007), coedited with Gary J. Schmitt; The Military We Need (AEI Press, 2005); and Operation Iraqi Freedom: A Strategic Assessment (AEI Press, 2004). From 1995 to 1999, he was policy group director and a professional staff member for the House Committee on Armed Services. Mr. Donnelly also served as a member of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. He is a former editor of Armed Forces Journal, Army Times, and Defense News.

James R. Holmes is an associate professor of strategy at the U.S. Naval War College. His specialties include U.S., Chinese, and Indian maritime strategy, U.S. diplomatic and military history, and public international law. Before joining the Naval War College faculty in 2007, he served on the faculty of the University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs, focusing on counterproliferation, nonproliferation export controls, and nuclear security. While in graduate school, he was a research associate at the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis and a senior political-military analyst at Energy Security Associates Inc. A former U.S. Navy surface warfare officer, he was assigned as engineering and gunnery officer in the battleship Wisconsin, director of an engineering course at the Surface Warfare Officers School Command, and military professor at the Naval War College, College of Distance Education. He was a visiting scholar at the Institute of International Relations, National Chengchi University, Taipei, in 2005, and at the Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, in 2006. His books include Red Star over the Pacific: China's Rise and U.S. Maritime Strategy (Naval Institute Press, forthcoming, coauthor), Nuclear Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age (Georgetown University Press, forthcoming, coeditor), Indian Naval Strategy in the 21st Century (Routledge, 2010, coauthor), Chinese Naval Strategy in the 21st Century: The Turn to Mahan (Routledge, 2008, coauthor), Asia Looks Seaward: Power and Maritime Strategy (Praeger, 2007, coeditor), Nuclear Security Culture: From National Best Practices to International Standards (IOS, 2007, coeditor), and Theodore Roosevelt and World Order: Police Power in International Relations (Potomac, 2006). He has published over eighty journal articles and book chapters, as well as over two hundred opinion columns for such outlets as the Providence Journal, the Taipei Times, Asia Times, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, the Minneapolis Star-Tribune, the Boston Globe, the Los Angeles Times, and the Athens Banner-Herald (Georgia), where he was a staff columnist from 2001 to 2007.

Timothy Hoyt is a professor of strategy and policy at the U.S. Naval War College, where he lectures on strategy, terrorism, counterinsurgency, military transformation, weapons of mass destruction, maritime strategies, and contemporary conflict and teaches an elective course on South Asian security with Andrew Winner. Before coming to the Naval War College, Mr. Hoyt taught graduate courses at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service. His recent publications include chapters and articles on the war on terrorism in South Asia, security and conflict in the developing world, the limits of military force in the global war on terrorism, the evolution of Kashmir as a nuclear flashpoint, Pakistani nuclear doctrine and strategic thought, the U.S. maritime strategy, the impact of nuclear weapons on recent crises in South Asia, and the future of U.S.-Pakistani relations. He is the author of Military Industry and Regional Defense Policy: India, Iraq and Israel (Routledge, 2006), which examines the role of military industry in the national security policies of India, Israel, and Iraq. Mr. Hoyt has recently begun a joint project on U.S.-Indian maritime cooperation and is actively involved in Track Two negotiations with both India and Pakistan. He is the assistant editor of The Journal of Strategic Studies and was recently named the cochair of the Naval War College's Indian Ocean Regional Studies Group.

Roy Kamphausen is senior vice president for political and security affairs and director of the National Bureau of Asian Research's (NBR) Washington, D.C., office. As senior vice president, Mr. Kamphausen manages NBR research programs on political and security issues in Asia. As office director, he manages the operations and outreach of NBR's office in Washington, D.C. Prior to joining NBR, Mr. Kamphausen served as a U.S. Army officer—a career that culminated in an assignment in the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) as country director for China-Taiwan-Mongolia affairs. Prior postings included assignments to the Joint Staff as an intelligence analyst and later as China branch chief in the Directorate for Strategic Plans and Policy (J5). A fluent Chinese (Mandarin) linguist and an Army China Foreign Area Officer (FAO), Mr. Kamphausen served two tours at the Defense Attaché Office of the U.S. Embassy in the People's Republic of China. His areas of professional expertise include China's People's Liberation Army (PLA), U.S.-China defense relations, U.S. defense and security policy toward Asia, and East Asian security issues. He coauthored the chapter "Military Modernization in Taiwan" in Strategic Asia 2005–06: Military Modernization in an Era of Uncertainty (NBR, 2005), with Michael Swaine; wrote the chapter "PLA Power Projection: Current Realities and Emerging Trends" in Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2007), with Justin Liang; edited the volume Right-Sizing the People's Liberation Army: Exploring the Contours of China's Military (Strategic Studies Institute, 2007), with Andrew Scobell; edited the volume The People in the PLA: Recruitment, Training, and Education in China's Military (Strategic Studies Institute, 2008), with Andrew Scobell and Travis Tanner; and edited Beyond the Strait: PLA Missions Other Than Taiwan (NBR and Strategic Studies Institute, 2009), with David Lai and Andrew Scobell. He is editing the forthcoming volume The PLA at Home and Abroad: Assessing the Operational Capabilities of China's Military (Strategic Studies Institute, June 2010). Mr. Kamphausen is a member of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations, the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and the U.S. Council for Security and Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific.

Walter Ladwig III is a doctoral candidate in International Relations at Merton College, Oxford, and a former predoctoral fellow at the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia. His scholarly publications have appeared in International Security, Comparative Strategy, Small Wars & Insurgencies, Asian Security, Military Review, Strategic Insights, War in History, Seminar, and Joint Force Quarterly, in addition to half a dozen chapters in edited volumes. He has commented on international affairs for the BBC, and his commentaries have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, the San Diego Union-Tribune, the Baltimore Sun, and the Indian Express.

Remy Nathan is assistant vice president for international affairs at the Aerospace Industries Association (AIA). In that capacity, he is responsible for monitoring, analyzing, and recommending actions on issues as they affect international commercial and military aerospace markets. Mr. Nathan oversees international trade and market access, export financing, international negotiations, export controls, foreign military sales, and international cooperative programs. Prior to joining AIA, Mr. Nathan was responsible for supporting U.S. companies active in Malaysia, as well as the Defense Working Group of the U.S.-ASEAN Business Council.

Jacqueline Newmyer is president of the Long Term Strategy Group, a Cambridge, Massachusetts–based defense consultancy, and senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. For the last seven years, she has worked with the director of the Office of the Secretary of Defense/Net Assessment on projects related to East Asia and the Middle East. Recent projects include a study of China's approach to the Revolution in Military Affairs, an analysis of the security implications of alternative Chinese futures, an assessment of China's capacity for radical technological innovation, and a book chapter on China's energy-security strategy. Ms. Newmyer has held postdoctoral fellowships at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and the John M. Olin Institute for Strategic Studies in the Government Department of Harvard's Faculty of Arts and Sciences, where she cotaught an award-winning undergraduate seminar called "Strategies of Tyrants." She has been published in the New York Times, Orbis, The American Interest, Policy Review, The Weekly Standard, and War in History, and she has been cited in a range of media outlets including Newsweek. Prior to entering the national security field, she worked as a journalist and an investment analyst.

Stephen Rosen is the Beton Michael Kaneb Professor of National Security and Military Affairs and senior counselor at the Long Term Strategy Group. He was the civilian assistant to the director of the Office of the Secretary of Defense/Net Assessment, the director of political-military affairs on the staff of the National Security Council, and a professor in the Strategy and Policy Department at the Naval War College. He participated in the President's Commission on Integrated Long Term Strategy and in the Gulf War Air Power Survey sponsored by the Secretary of the Air Force. He has published articles on ballistic-missile defense, the American theory of limited war, and the strategic implications of the AIDS epidemic, and he wrote the book Winning the Next War: Innovation and the Modern Military, which won the 1992 Funriss Prize for best first book on national security affairs awarded by the Merchon Center at Ohio State University. His second book is Societies and Military Power: India and Its Armies (Cornell University Press, 1995). His third book is War and Human Nature (Princeton University Press, 2005).

Neena Shenai joined AEI as an adjunct scholar in April 2009. She focuses on the intersection of U.S. international trade and national security policy. Previously, Ms. Shenai was a senior adviser in the Bureau of Industry and Security at the U.S. Department of Commerce. Before serving in the George W. Bush administration, she was an attorney in the international trade group at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP. Ms. Shenai has also worked in the Rules Division at the World Trade Organization and was a law clerk for Judge Evan J. Wallach at the U.S. Court of International Trade.

Shivaji Sondhi is professor of physics at Princeton University. His research lies in theoretical condensed-matter physics and has been recognized by Sloan and Packard Fellowships and the McMillan Prize. He is also interested in strategic policy issues. Along with colleagues Michael Cook of the Department of Near Eastern Studies and Robert Socolow and Steven Pacala of the Princeton Environmental Institute, he founded a Program on Oil, Energy, and the Middle East at Princeton. He currently runs the India and the World program at the Center for International Security Studies of the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University.

AEI Participants

 

Dan
Blumenthal
  • Dan Blumenthal is a current commissioner and former vice chairman of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, where he directs efforts to monitor, investigate, and provide recommendations on the national security implications of the economic relationship between the two countries. Previously, he was senior director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia in the Secretary of Defense's Office of International Security Affairs and practiced law in New York prior to his government service. At AEI, in addition to his work on the national security implications of U.S.-Sino relations, he coordinates the Tocqueville on China project, which examines the underlying civic culture of post-Mao China. Mr. Blumenthal also contributes to AEI's Asian Outlook series and is a research associate with the National Asia Research Program.
  • Phone: 202-862-5861
    Email: dblumenthal@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Lara Crouch
    Phone: 202-862-7160
    Email: lara.crouch@aei.org

 

Thomas
Donnelly
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