Is the United States Ready for China's Rise?: Alliances for a New Asia
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The United States seeks to maintain its presence in East Asia, a posture that has provided security to our allies and stability to international trade. Increasingly, it appears China is not content with the American-made and –dominated international order and is now developing the capability to undermine it. The budding US-China security rivalry will shape the region’s future, but experts still debate the effect of China’s rise on regional stability. Is China an emerging threat? If so, is America’s hub-and-spoke Asian alliance system appropriate to deal with it? In what ways might the alliance system be restructured? AEI Resident Fellow Dan Blumenthal, with colleagues from AEI and the Project 2049 Institute, recently wrote a paper addressing these issues titled “Asian Alliances in the 21st Century.” At this AEI event, Mr. Blumenthal and co-author Randy Schriver of the Project 2049 Institute will present their findings. James Traub, contributing writer for The New York Times Magazine and columnist for ForeignPolicy.com, will share his comments.
Agenda
9:45 AM
Registration

10:00 AM
Presenters:
DAN BLUMENTHAL, AEI
RANDY SCHRIVER, Project 2049 Institute

Discussant:
JAMES TRAUB, The New York Times Magazine and ForeignPolicy.com

Moderator:
TOM DONNELLY, AEI

11:30 AM
Adjournment
Event Contact Information
For more information, please contact Lara Crouch at lara.crouch@aei.org, 202-862-7160.    
Media Contact Information
For media inquiries, please contact Véronique Rodman at vrodman@aei.org, 202.862.4871.
Speaker Biographies

Dan Blumenthal is the director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), where he focuses on East Asian security issues and on Sino-American relations. He has recently been named a research associate in the National Asia Research Program, a joint undertaking of the National Bureau of Asian Research and the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. He has served on the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission since 2005, including as vice chairman in 2007, and has been a member of the Academic Advisory Board for the congressional US-China Working Group. Previously, Mr. Blumenthal was senior director for China, Taiwan and Mongolia in the office of the secretary of defense for international security affairs during George W. Bush's first administration. He has written articles and op-eds for The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Weekly Standard, National Review, and numerous edited volumes.

Thomas Donnelly , a defense and security policy analyst, is the director of the Center for Defense Studies at AEI. He is the coauthor of “Lessons for a Long War: How America Can Win on New Battlefields” (AEI Press, 2010, with Frederick W. Kagan). Among his recent books are “Ground Truth: The Future of US Land Power” (AEI Press, 2008, with Mr. Kagan), “Of Men and Materiel: The Crisis in Military Resources” (AEI Press, 2007, coedited with Gary J. Schmitt), “The Military We Need” (AEI Press, 2005) and “Operation Iraqi Freedom: A Strategic Assessment” (AEI Press, 2004). Mr. Donnelly was policy-group director and a professional staff member for the House Committee on Armed Services from 1995 to 1999, and he also served as a member of the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission. He is a former editor of Armed Forces Journal, Army Times and Defense News.

Randall Schriver
is one of five founding partners of Armitage International LLC, a consulting firm specializing in international business development and strategies that incorporated in March 2005. He is also CEO and president of the Project 2049 Institute, a nonprofit research organization dedicated to the study of security trend lines in Asia and a senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Immediately before his return to the private sector, he served as deputy assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, responsible for China, Taiwan, Mongolia, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific Islands. Previously, he served for two years as chief of staff and senior policy advisor to Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage. He has also held several positions in the Department of Defense, including senior country director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia in the Office of the Secretary of Defense (1997–98); assistant country director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia (1995–97); and positions with the Office of Counter Proliferation Policy (1995) and the Commission on Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces (1994). Prior to his civilian service, he served as an active-duty Navy Intelligence Officer for nearly three years (1989–91). Mr. Schriver has won numerous military and civilian awards from the US government and was presented with the Order of the Propitious Clouds by the president of Taiwan for service while at the State Department promoting US-Taiwan relations.

James Traub is a contributing writer for The New York Times Magazine and writes a weekly column, “Terms of Engagement,” for ForeignPolicy.com. He has also worked as a staff writer for The New Yorker and has written for many leading publications, focusing on foreign policy and national security. In recent years, he has written from Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Iran, Egypt, Sudan, the Congo and elsewhere. Of his five books, the most recent are “The Best Intentions” (2006), about the United Nations during the time of Kofi Annan, and “The Freedom Agenda” (2008), about democracy promotion. He is currently writing a biography of John Quincy Adams. He is also teaches a course on U.S. foreign policy through a New York University program in Abu Dhabi. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and often speaks publicly on foreign policy.

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AEI Participants

 

Dan
Blumenthal

  • Dan Blumenthal is the director of Asian Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, where he focuses on East Asian security issues and Sino-American relations.  Mr. Blumenthal has both served in and advised the U.S. government on China issues for over a decade.  From 2001 to 2004, he served as senior director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia at the Department of Defense.  Additionally, he served as a commissioner on the congressionally-mandated U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission since 2006-2012, and held the position of vice chairman in 2007.  He has also served on the Academic Advisory Board of the congressional U.S.-China Working Group. Mr. Blumenthal is the co-author of "An Awkward Embrace: The United States and China in the 21st Century" (AEI Press, November 2012).


  • Phone: 202-862-5861
    Email: dblumenthal@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Lara Crouch
    Phone: 202-862-7160
    Email: lara.crouch@aei.org

 

Thomas
Donnelly
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