This full text of this report is available here in Adobe Acrobat PDF format.

The newest phase of the global AIDS pandemic is the unfolding of the contagion across the great Islamic expanse. In the years immediately ahead, the HIV/AIDS pandemic threatens to wash through the Muslim world. The disease will exact a grim toll in a number of vulnerable populations living within volatile polities--places unlikely to cope well with the significant new social stresses and economic burdens brought on by HIV/AIDS.

The Muslim world consists of more than fifty countries in which forty percent or more of the populace practices some form of Islam. It stretches across three continents and encompasses many hundreds of cultures. From Albania and Turkey in Europe, across countries bordering the Sahara in Northern Africa, and through the Persian Gulf and South Asia to Malaysia and Indonesia in the east, the Muslim world is home to over one billion people.

Nicholas Eberstadt is the Henry Wendt Scholar in Political Economy at AEI. Laura M. Kelley was the principal author of the U.S. National Intelligence Council study, "The Next Wave of HIV/AIDS: Nigeria, Ethiopia, Russia, India and China."