Blue, red, and purple in 2012: AEI Political Report, November 2012

AEI Political Report, November 2012

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Independents voted narrowly for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama in 2012. This is the third time since 1972 that they have voted for the losing candidate.

The gender gap in this election was 18 points, and women made up 53 percent of the electorate. More women than men have voted for the Democratic presidential candidate since 1980.

• In 1972, white voters were around 90 percent of all voters. In 2012, that number dropped to 72 percent.

• Voters who indicate that they have some college education have an excellent track record of voting for the winner, a pattern repeated in 2012, albeit very narrowly.

Parents with children under 18 voted for George W. Bush in 2004 and Obama in 2008 and 2012. This year, 51 percent of them voted for Obama, and 47 percent voted for Romney.

• The 18 states that traditionally vote Democratic stayed with Obama. Of these states, Pennsylvania was the closest. The 13 states that consistently vote Republican did so again. Of these, South Carolina and Mississippi were the closest, with Romney winning each by a 9 point margin.

 

Political Report November 2012

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About the Author

 

Karlyn
Bowman
  • Karlyn Bowman compiles and analyzes American public opinion using available polling data on a variety of subjects, including the economy, taxes, the state of workers in America, environment and global warming, attitudes about homosexuality and gay marriage, NAFTA and free trade, the war in Iraq, and women's attitudes. In addition, Ms. Bowman has studied and spoken about the evolution of American politics because of key demographic and geographic changes. She has often lectured on the role of think tanks in the United States and writes a weekly column for Forbes.com.
  • Phone: 2028625910
    Email: kbowman@aei.org
  • Assistant Info

    Name: Andrew Rugg
    Phone: 2028625917
    Email: andrew.rugg@aei.org

 

Andrew
Rugg

 

Jennifer K.
Marsico
  • Jennifer K. Marsico is a senior research associate at AEI, working in the Political Corner. Her research focuses on elections and election reform, as well as government continuity issues. She is a visiting fellow at the Independent Women's Forum. She is also a contributor to the AEIdeas blog, and has also written for many outside print and online publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Chicago Tribune, and Roll Call. Ms. Marsico serves as assistant director of the AEI-Brookings Continuity of Government Commission, and has contributed to recent studies on Supreme Court continuity, voter registration modernization, and civic participation in the digital age.

  • Phone: 202.862.5899
    Email: jennifer.marsico@aei.org

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