How close is this race, really? AEI Political Report, September 2012

AEI Political Report, September 2012

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* Barack Obama is in a weaker position than most of his predecessors seeking re-election on some important indicators at this point in the campaign. Only 23 percent of Americans are satisfied with the way things are going in the country, compared to 41 percent in September 2004.

* Americans have a pretty good track record of predicting election winners. Around six in ten say Obama will win in November. We also look at the effect of debates on presidential election outcomes.

* The partisan gap on issues like abortion, government size and efficiency, and global warming is growing. These and other key issues are more sharply divided by political party than by race, education, income or gender.

* Initial reactions to Joe Biden in 2008 were more favorable than early reactions to Paul Ryan in 2012, though polls suggest the VP pick ultimately has little effect on the ticket overall.

* Democrats maintain their advantage on Medicare. Across six pollsters, Americans trust Obama over Romney to handle the issue.

* Approaching the one-year anniversary of Occupy Wall Street, around two in ten Americans identify with the movement or say they are supporters of it.

* Also, polls on educational attainment, Social Security, abortion and more.


How close is this race, really? AEI Political Report, September 2012

 

 

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